GAP Q4 Deep Dive: Growth Across Core Brands, Strategic Expansion in Beauty and Accessories

Clothing and accessories retailer Gap (NYSE:GAP) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q4 CY2025, with sales up 2.1% year on year to $4.24 billion. On the other hand, next quarter’s revenue guidance of $3.51 billion was less impressive, coming in 0.5% below analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.45 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

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• Revenue: $4.24 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.24 billion (2.1% year-on-year growth, in line)

• Adjusted EPS: $0.45 vs analyst estimates of $0.46 (in line)

• Adjusted EBITDA: $357 million vs analyst estimates of $336.2 million (8.4% margin, 6.2% beat)

• Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $3.51 billion at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $3.53 billion

• Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $2.28 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 2.5%

• Operating Margin: 5.4%, in line with the same quarter last year

• Locations: 3,486 at quarter end, down from 3,569 in the same quarter last year

• Same-Store Sales rose 3% year on year, in line with the same quarter last year

• Market Capitalization: $10.12 billion

Gap’s fourth quarter performance did not satisfy the market, as shares declined following the results. Management attributed the quarter’s outcome to consistent growth at Old Navy, Gap, and Banana Republic, each showing positive comparable sales. CEO Richard Dickson emphasized that Gap’s namesake brand delivered its ninth consecutive quarter of positive comps, driven by strength in fleece, denim, and sleepwear, while Old Navy continued to gain share in activewear and denim. Tariff pressures continued to affect margins, but disciplined execution and category leadership in key segments supported stable operating performance.

Looking ahead, Gap’s guidance reflects ongoing investment in new growth categories and modernization of its store and technology infrastructure. Management highlighted that expansion into beauty and accessories, as well as the rollout of new store formats, are expected to support future revenue and margin trends. CFO Katrina O’Connell noted, “AUR [average unit retail] growth is embedded in our 2026 plan, in line with 2025 delivery, reflecting a balance of higher sell-through and lower discounting.” Management also cautioned that tariff timing and ongoing investment in growth accelerators would shape the cadence of performance over the coming year.

Gap’s management credited positive comparable sales and share gains at core brands, ongoing reductions in discounting, and resilience to tariff headwinds as primary drivers of the fourth quarter’s results.

• Old Navy’s category leadership: Old Navy continued to strengthen its position in key segments such as denim, activewear, and kids’ apparel, supported by partnerships like Disney and a growing presence on social media platforms. Management noted Old Navy’s consistent positive comps and share gains across all income cohorts.

• Gap brand resurgence: The Gap brand accelerated its momentum, achieving notable growth among both Gen Z and legacy customers. Management emphasized the success of culturally relevant collaborations, a pullback on discounting, and strong performance in categories like fleece and denim. New store formats outperformed the existing fleet, providing confidence for further rollout.

• Banana Republic’s merchandising focus: Banana Republic’s third consecutive quarter of positive comps reflected sharper merchandising and head-to-toe wardrobing, with a focus on luxury materials such as leather, suede, and cashmere. Greater synergy between men’s and women’s assortments was highlighted as a driver of brand differentiation.

• Athleta repositioning: Athleta underperformed relative to the rest of the portfolio. Management described ongoing efforts to re-architect the assortment, build key items into enduring franchises, and reconnect the brand to its original purpose under new leadership, with the aim of returning to growth in future years.

• Tariff and margin management: Despite significant tariff headwinds, Gap leveraged sourcing strategies and cost optimization to mitigate the impact. Management reported that lower discounting and higher average unit retails contributed to margin resilience, and expects tariff effects to become net neutral over the coming year as mitigation strategies annualize.

Management expects continued growth in core apparel categories, with incremental contributions from new lifestyle segments and ongoing investment in technology and store formats.

• Beauty and accessories expansion: Gap is investing in beauty and accessories as new growth accelerators, with early pilots at Old Navy and a fragrance relaunch at Gap planned for the summer. Management believes these categories can serve as both margin drivers and traffic builders, based on industry benchmarks and initial customer response.

• Store modernization and technology: The rollout of new store formats and increased capital expenditures in technology, including AI-driven capabilities and RFID, are expected to enhance the in-store experience and operational efficiency. Management pointed to successful pilots at flagship locations and plans to accelerate rollout in the year ahead.

• Tariff impacts and cost optimization: The company anticipates that tariff headwinds will be most pronounced in the first half of the year but expects mitigation strategies to render the impact neutral on full-year operating income. Cost savings initiatives of $150 million are planned to offset inflation and fund investments in growth initiatives.

In upcoming quarters, our analysts will be watching (1) progress on the expansion of beauty and accessories as new revenue streams, (2) continued momentum in positive comps at Old Navy, Gap, and Banana Republic, and (3) the pace and returns of new store format rollouts and technology investments. Execution on cost optimization and effective tariff mitigation will also be key indicators of performance.

Gap currently trades at $24.28, down from $27.24 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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