A Look At Li Auto (NasdaqGS:LI) Valuation After Weaker May Deliveries And Rising EV Price Competition

Why Li Auto’s May deliveries matter for the stock

Li Auto (NasdaqGS:LI) released May 2026 delivery data that fell short of investor expectations, as units declined from April and the prior year, while Chinese EV price competition and changing incentives weighed on sentiment.

See our latest analysis for Li Auto.

The May delivery shortfall and softer second quarter guidance have come alongside a share price of $14.11, with the stock down 21.61% on a 1 month share price return basis and total shareholder returns lower over 1, 3 and 5 years. This suggests recent momentum has been fading as investors reassess growth prospects and risks.

If this Li Auto pullback has you rethinking your EV exposure, it can help to see what else is moving in related areas and check out 33 robotics and automation stocks.

With the stock down sharply over the past year and Li Auto now loss making, yet still producing more than 30,000 vehicles a month, are you looking at an undervalued EV player or a stock where the market already reflects slower growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 33.4% Undervalued

With Li Auto closing at $14.11 versus a widely followed fair value narrative of $21.18, the market pricing and the narrative view are clearly out of sync.

The company’s ongoing transition from extended-range vehicles (EREVs) to pure battery electric vehicles (BEVs), including successful launches of the Li MEGA and Li i8, and the upcoming Li i6, positions Li Auto to capture expanding market share as Chinese middle-class consumers upgrade and EV adoption accelerates, directly supporting long-term revenue growth and total addressable market expansion.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious what earnings path and margin profile need to line up for that gap to close? The narrative leans on compounding revenue, rising profitability and a richer future earnings multiple, all filtered through an 11.53% discount rate.

Result: Fair Value of $21.18 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.

However, the narrative can be challenged if heavy R&D and capital spending keep cash flow under pressure, or if intense EV competition continues to squeeze margins and volumes.

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Another View: What Multiples Say About Li Auto

That fair value narrative points to undervaluation, but the current pricing on sales tells a more cautious story. Li Auto trades on a P/S of 0.9x, above the US Auto industry at 0.6x yet in line with its 0.9x fair ratio and below peers at 1.5x. Is this a margin of safety or a sign that expectations remain demanding?

To see how those sales multiples stack up against detailed peer data and the fair ratio the market could move toward, take a closer look at the valuation breakdown, starting with See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

Next Steps

Sentiment might feel mixed after these numbers, so it pays to move fast and test the data against your own expectations. Start with the 1 key reward.

Looking for more investment ideas?

If Li Auto has sharpened your thinking, do not stop there. Use the Simply Wall Street Screener to see how other opportunities line up against your criteria.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data
and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your
financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data.
Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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